UMA Disputed Markets Dashboard
Real-time Oracle Voting Analytics for Disputed Polymarket Resolutions
Reveal Stage Active
Voting outcomes are being revealed
Large Unrevealed Voters (>25K tokens)
Individual Voters (1)
Disputed Markets Under UMA Review

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a reduction, removal, or suspension of any existing tariffs on China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only tariff reductions specifically announced in relation to China, goods from China, or a specific set of countries including China will qualify. For example, an announced reduction in global tariffs will not count toward this market’s resolution. Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Tariff reductions, removals, or suspensions announced as part of a mutual agreement or deal between the United States and China will qualify. Any qualifying action announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the tariff reduction, removal, or suspension go into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 2169751
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? - 1779422875

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2270614
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? - 1779350544

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from May 11, 2026, through May 17, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files. market_id: 2190089
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? - 1779342022

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting. market_id: 2270615
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? - 1779350527

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
In the upcoming Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:20PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 49 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill. market_id: 2324515
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? - 1779388376
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 19?
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 19? - 1779234775

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, including kills during regulation rounds and overtime rounds if applicable. Team kills (friendly fire) and self-inflicted deaths (e.g., falling damage, own grenade) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market. If no kills are recorded in Map 3, or if Map 3 is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Map 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. market_id: 2327337